> онятно, а мне казалось что ты уехала где-то в 16.
14, pretty close to what you thought.
иг911 (ig911) писал(а) в ответ на :
> У меня у жены две племяницы, обе получили Master Degree связанные с arts. > Одна из них приехала когда ей было 9, very successful professionally, but a bit defensive когда с ней общаешься. > Младшую привезли в годик, она менее successful, but relaxed and loving.
They both sound lovely, good luck to them both.
22:26 07.05.2017
Макрон победил во Франции с разрывом в 35% (huge). Это значит что волна популизма в Европе has crested (прошла пик) . Плохая новость для Брекзит (Англии легче договорится с раздроблненной и ослабленной Европой).
22:51 07.05.2017
Видимо Франция еще не сошла с ума. Liberte, egalite, fraternite!
22:57 07.05.2017
иг911 (ig911) писал(а) в ответ на :
> Макрон победил во Франции с разрывом в 35% (huge). > Это значит что волна популизма в Европе has crested (прошла пик) . Плохая новость для Брекзита (Англии легче договорится с раздроблненной и ослабленной Европой).
Well out of the two it is the Macron that we wanted to win, not Le Pen. You don't understand the dynamics of the EU and what a complex organisation it is on many levels, but Le Pen is not what UK wanted and I made it very clear in my posts before this election even came up.
It will be a hard divorce from Europe, an ugly one, we are prepared for it, even if it's not what we wished for. But Le Pen would have been a disaster for the EU and for us too, as everything happening in the EU affects the financial markets here, so we don't need another bombshell.
As for "populism ending"- I wouldn't be so fast. What you should think about is not Le Pen in France or Geert Wilders' in the Netherlands loosing the respective elections. You should think about how much they increased their share of the vote by. Your trouble is - you still live in "Sovok", it's democracy here , the electorate has a say - this is not Russia or Zimbabwe. The radical far right on the Continent gained a major share and is on its way up. Le Pen will win in the next election as Macron will never succeed in reforming the French employment system, which is his main pledge, as everything that's needed for a reform is against the EU directive. So - five years down the road we could be well looking at the collapse of the EU. You underestimate the folk of Europe . That's possibly because you are from the Soviet Union where the folk's opinion meant nothing , the folk was considered herd, which is still the case there pretty much I believe.
23:31 07.05.2017
Redhead (Expat) писал(а) в ответ на :
> Well out of the two it is the Macron that we wanted to win, not Le Pen. > You don't understand the dynamics of the EU and what a complex organisation it is on many levels, but Le Pen is not what UK wanted and I made it very clear in my posts before this election even came up.
This is interesting (your post). By the way, don't get offended, I am just repeating what I hear on a liberal TV. So, why Le Pen is bad for UK ??? I smell double standards.
1. If Le Pen had won, Euro would tumble not the Pound. 2. Win of Le Pen would spell doom to EU, it would end Europe's standing as one in Brexit negotiation and would give May much more room for maneuvering. 3. Le Pen is pro-Nationalist, against immigration and against EU - this is what Brexit is mainly about.
So, why Britain is against Le Pen ???
23:42 07.05.2017
иг911 (ig911) писал(а) в ответ на :
> This is interesting (your post). > By the way, don't get offended, I am just repeating what I hear on a liberal TV. > So, why Le Pen is bad for UK ??? I smell double standards
Not at all, everything is logical, but needs explaining.
It's a long subject, why don't you open a thread on the English forum on the issue .
In the meantime, watch Macron live on Telegraph - declaring his Presidency
00:05 08.05.2017
Енот (Енот) писал(а) в ответ на :
> > Видимо Франция еще не сошла с ума. > Liberte, egalite, fraternite!
Мне пришлось Гугл - fraternite.
Поздравляю! Люди уже забыли что Фашизм тоже пришёл на волне экономической неудовлетворённости (сейчас 10% безработица во Фанции, и почти 20% среди молодёжи).
Поэтому, как бы национализм, протекционизм и анти-эмиграционизм не рядили, приукрашивали и объясняли - это шаг в сторону фашизма.
> > Поздравляю! > Люди уже забыли что Фашизм тоже пришёл на волне экономической неудовлетворённости (сейчас 10% безработица во Фанции, и почти 20% среди молодёжи).
Безработица среди University educated young French - 30% already, like in Spain or Portugal. Французы работают в Лондоне, их в одном Central London уже полмиллионна здесь.
00:15 08.05.2017
иг911 (ig911) писал(а) в ответ на :
> Мне пришлось Гугл - fraternity.
Brotherhood - that's what it means. It's not a big thing in French culture despite the slogan, it;s a big thing in Anglo Saxonian Culture. We don't chant it, just practice it.
>> Люди уже забыли что Фашизм тоже пришёл на волне экономической неудовлетворённости (сейчас 10% безработица во Фанции, и почти 20% среди молодёжи).
> > Безработица среди University educated young French - 30% already, like in Spain or Portugal. > Французы работают в Лондоне, их в одном Central London уже полмиллионна здесь.
Гитлер - дал всем работу, построил хорошие дороги и сделал автомобиль - volkswagen - который могли себе позволить купить рабочие. Трамп и Ла Пен - могут сделать людей счастливыми, но не на долго.
Есть хорошее Английское выражение: Putting lipstick on a pig
00:32 08.05.2017
Посмотрел, долго откладываемый мной для просмотра, фильм "По соображениям совести". Зря откладывал, хороший фильм. В нем хорошо переплетаются абсолютно реалистично показанный ужас войны с одновременно некой верой в чудо. Интересно, но фильм, в котором не чураются показывать оторванные конечности, получился идеалистичным, чуть ли не до наивности, и жизнеутверждающим. Немного смутило, что местами он выглядел чуть ли не ремейком "Цельнометаллической оболочки", видимо Гибсон вдохновлялся этим фильмом. В общем, рекомендую если нравятся военные фильмы.
Решил вот поделится.
00:40 08.05.2017
Енот (Енот) писал(а) в ответ на :
> Решил вот поделится.
Спасибо, я не смотрел.
21:53 08.05.2017
Redhead (Expat) писал(а) в ответ на :
> > Безработица среди University educated young French - 30% already, like in Spain or Portugal. > Французы работают в Лондоне, их в одном Central London уже полмиллионна здесь.
В условиях глобальной экономики только безумец будет создавать рабочие места в стране с 35-часовой рабочей неделей.
22:20 08.05.2017
Неделей.. Ага Наблюдатель (Реалист) писал(а) в ответ на :
>> >> Безработица среди University educated young French - 30% already, like in Spain or Portugal. >> Французы работают в Лондоне, их в одном Central London уже полмиллионна здесь.
>В условиях глобальной экономики только безумец будет создавать рабочие места в стране с 35-часовым рабочим днем.
> 1. If Le Pen had won, Euro would tumble not the Pound. > 2. Win of Le Pen would spell doom to EU, it would end Europe's standing as one in Brexit negotiation and would give May much more room for maneuvering.
> 3. Le Pen is pro-Nationalist, against immigration and against EU - this is what Brexit is mainly about. > > So, why Britain is against Le Pen ???
I have a bit of time to answer your questions in detail. Basically, you don't get the difference between our Eurosceptics and the French ones. Like I said to you before - our Eurosceptics are the Establishment - well, the prominent Tories in the House of Lords and in the Commons + UKIP (our representation in the European Parliament). To be clear - noone here believes in the EU - even those who voted to stay in. The EU as a Superstate is Utopia, there are too many differences between the countries - cultural, economic, financial,etc. However, those who voted to stay in thought that even though this organisation is doomed to failure in the long run, as long as at the moment it can be flexible enough to lend itself to modification, it's worth staying in it and reform it. That was the rationale behind the vote. The Tories - even the most Eurosceptic ones of them - they want to Brexit as they want more power and control to be kept in Britain, but they don't wish destruction and catastrophe upon the EU , they don't wish financial or economic disasters in the EU in the slightest. The EU is what we make our money from (well, some of it). Prosperity in Europe is vital for us. Now, Le Pen - if she came to power, she would straight away break all ties with the EU institutions and take France out of the Eurozone Currency - Hard Frexit, but unlike the UK - they have Euro as their currency. So you can imagine - this will trigger all sorts of crises in the EU, the UK and around the world - financial, economic, property market, etc. Noone wants it here. Also, our Tories are pro NATO, she is ANTI. The Tories consider those who are anti NATO - the biggest threat to our national security. She is also pro Putin, whereas Theresa May is very anti Putin, just like Cameron was. The Tories here would be embarrassed to associate themselves in any way with Marine Le Pen. IT's a no no. When she made it to the second round, the journalists were asking questions like "Why is it that our Gorvenment has never contacted or talked to one of the potential future Presidents of France?", but the Tories reiterated that they would only have to engage with her if she happened to become President. Whereas with Macron - Theresa May met before. He was French economy Minister in the Hollande's Government and was on the negotiating team between the UK and the EU back then and Cameron said he was one of the most reasonable, sensible and pragmatic people out of the EU lot. Macron is an ex Rothschild banker - he is smart and pragmatic, someone people here will be able to do business with. He said a lot of stuff against Brexit - understandably, as France and Britain have always been antagonistic in the EU (even though the best partners in security and lots of mutual trade and immigration). Macron will be making attempts to pull the business from the City into Paris, but it won't be possible - at least in the short to mid term -as the City - it's an infrastructure that has been developed for centuries. Ever since we didn't join the Euro both Paris and Frankfurt tried zillions of times to pull the financial services away from London to the Continent - but were defeated each time. Macron faces a huge task of reforming the French Economy, whilst being given orders from Brussels and the ECB. It's a no mean feat, as they say. He faces the election into the Assembly next month (French Parliament), where he doesn't have any seats so he will have to pursuade the leaders of other mainstream parties to form a coalition and support his polices. This will be hard. The hard task for him is not to turn from "a great reformer" (which he branded himself as) into lame duck President, who can't do much cause of the lack of support from the MPs who can vote his ideas into action. By the way, Macron is against Hard Brexit and said he doesn't seek to punish Britain and wants to preserve the mutual wealth. It's a good sign.
